How we predict the weather
Mausam Online is built on open, professional-grade weather data. Every temperature, rainfall, wind, and air-quality number you see on the site comes from one of two world-class sources, served through the open-data project Open-Meteo. There is no in-house forecasting model and no AI guess — we surface raw outputs from the same systems that national met departments and airlines rely on.
Weather forecast: ECMWF + GFS via Open-Meteo
Our hourly and 7-day forecasts come from two of the world's leading numerical weather prediction (NWP) models:
- ECMWF IFS (Integrated Forecasting System) — operated by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Globally regarded as the most accurate medium-range model. Updated 4× daily.
- NOAA GFS (Global Forecast System) — the US National Weather Service's global model. Open data, refreshed 4× daily.
Both models are blended and served by Open-Meteo, a non-profit Swiss project that aggregates and re-distributes open weather data. We refresh each city's reading every 60 minutes.
Air quality: European AQI
Our AQI badges use the official European Air Quality Index (EAQI) defined by the European Environment Agency. The scale runs 0–100+ with breakpoints at 20/40/60/80/100, and combines PM2.5, PM10, NO₂, O₃ and SO₂ readings into a single number.
Source: Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) global air-quality forecast, served via Open-Meteo's Air Quality API.
Why EAQI instead of the US or Indian AQI?
South Asia uses several competing AQI scales (Indian NAQI 0–500, US EPA 0–500, EAQI 0–100+). We chose EAQI because (1) it weights PM2.5 and PM10 separately so dust storms and combustion smog produce clearly different scores, (2) it has documented sub-pollutant breakpoints that we can publish for every reading, and (3) it is the scale Open-Meteo natively exposes. We don't translate to NAQI / US AQI to avoid silent rounding errors — instead we always show the underlying PM2.5 / PM10 µg/m³ values on the city page.
How accurate are the forecasts?
For the first 24 hours, ECMWF-blended forecasts are routinely within ±1.5°C of observed temperature in South Asia. For days 4–7, accuracy drops as expected with any global model — typical error grows to ±3–4°C and rainfall timing within ±6 hours. We do not over-promise: a 7-day forecast is guidance, not a guarantee.
Update cadence — what refreshes when
- Current conditions: every 60 minutes via Open-Meteo. Browser cache TTL is 60 min.
- Hourly forecast (next 24 h): 4× daily (00, 06, 12, 18 UTC) on the ECMWF cycle.
- 7-day forecast: 4× daily, same as hourly.
- 10-15 day extended outlook: 2× daily — accuracy drops beyond day 7, treat as trend not commitment.
- Air quality (EAQI + PM2.5): hourly from CAMS.
- Static city/state pages: regenerated on every site deploy (≈daily, manual cadence).
What we don't do
- No proprietary "secret" model — every number can be cross-checked against the source APIs.
- No AI-generated text in the forecast itself. Our short summaries (e.g. "Perfect chai weather ☕") are picked from a curated phrase library by deterministic rules.
- No personal data sold. We don't track users beyond an optional Web Vitals beacon (off by default).
Open data, open code
Mausam Online's static-site code is open source and the data sources above are all public APIs. If you want to verify a number, point any HTTP client at the same Open-Meteo endpoint and you'll get the same JSON we did.
Why we exist
Most weather apps for South Asia are either bloated international products (slow on low-end Android, no Tamil/Bengali/Urdu UI) or thin scrapers that mirror the same data without context. We try to be neither: fast (under 0.8s LCP on 3G), localised (5 languages with native-script city names), and honest about where the numbers come from.
Who runs Mausam Online
Mausam Online is built and operated by Spolek Minizoo.cz z.s., a Czech-Republic-registered nonprofit association (IČO listed on the parent site at minizoo.cz). The organisation also operates sister weather sites for Central Europe (pocasi.online — Czech), the Balkans (vrijeme.online), and the DACH region (vorhersage.online).
Operational responsibility for forecast quality, AQI methodology, and city/state geo-data sits with the engineering team. Data anomalies, accuracy disputes and methodology questions can be raised via the contact page — we aim to respond within 5 working days.
This page was last reviewed on and is updated whenever a methodology change ships (e.g. switching AQI provider, adding a new model, or revising onset heuristics).